Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2.984320 3.446413 3.953074 4.549387 5.231588 5.987264 6.887424
2025-02-09 2.325624 2.926106 3.639269 4.547073 5.670289 7.012827 8.737778
2025-02-16 1.863642 2.529155 3.377081 4.533031 6.064075 8.018350 10.698008
2025-02-23 1.477978 2.148839 3.059834 4.381097 6.241452 8.759573 12.417897
2025-03-02 1.168998 1.810845 2.734904 4.153070 6.263937 9.276779 13.887758
2025-03-09 0.994384 1.631740 2.599248 4.161851 6.606758 10.265946 16.132164
2025-03-16 0.829575 1.437126 2.406362 4.048231 6.739310 10.947996 17.990727
2025-03-23 0.762827 1.387649 2.429941 4.272631 7.420670 12.540284 21.439195
2025-03-30 0.690963 1.316528 2.405074 4.408672 7.967579 13.971248 24.784012
2025-04-06 0.610808 1.216891 2.315187 4.416263 8.289677 15.055539 27.658617
2025-04-13 0.512267 1.066662 2.112356 4.190308 8.163519 15.344445 29.168138
2025-04-20 0.473347 1.025604 2.105431 4.325539 8.711242 16.882082 33.078089
2025-04-27 0.452503 1.020075 2.170267 4.616279 9.606585 19.186531 38.730026
2025-05-04 0.413717 0.970699 2.140836 4.715141 10.139586 20.869267 43.395354
2025-05-11 0.374932 0.914914 2.090068 4.762522 10.573745 22.407525 47.952272
2025-05-18 0.327555 0.831552 1.967987 4.639735 10.635118 23.203131 51.094542
2025-05-25 0.280042 0.739478 1.812572 4.419854 10.455290 23.474005 53.163202
2025-06-01 0.254843 0.697766 1.766288 4.441967 10.814151 24.921927 57.901716
2025-06-08 0.224623 0.638022 1.668468 4.328541 10.847237 25.661771 61.164418
2025-06-15 0.217361 0.637577 1.715391 4.572621 11.750853 28.439034 69.302217
2025-06-22 0.205501 0.622601 1.723559 4.720801 12.440337 30.798106 76.723549
2025-06-29 0.188272 0.589555 1.680182 4.730711 12.788241 32.394442 82.517941
2025-07-06 0.162468 0.526962 1.548863 4.490345 12.470052 32.362949 84.394936